By Rocco Clayfield, founder of GoldPaid (GOLDPAID LTD) · Published · updated
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The obvious question, and the better one
It is natural to start by asking whether the gold price will go higher. That question has no reliable answer, from us or from anyone else, and we will not pretend otherwise. If you want the factors that move the market rather than a forecast, the 2026 market outlook sets them out and still refuses to predict. The arithmetic half of the decision takes a minute: how a tested weight and purity become an offer shows what actually sets the figure, and a photo and weight on WhatsApp gets a rough estimate.
The better question is what the piece is for. A gold chain in a drawer is doing one of three things: waiting to be worn, waiting to be inherited, or waiting to be forgotten. Only the third is a reason to sell, and it is a good one.
The asymmetry that should carry the most weight
Selling is not reversible in the way that keeping is. Cash you receive today can be spent, saved or used to buy gold again if you change your mind. A chain that has gone to a refiner is gone as that chain, permanently, and no amount of money brings that specific object back. Two decisions that look symmetrical on a spreadsheet are not symmetrical in life.
That argues for a simple bias: when genuinely undecided about a specific piece, keep it. Not because it will be worth more later, which nobody knows, but because the cost of waiting is small and the cost of being wrong in the other direction is absolute. That bias does not apply to broken chain and single earrings, which nobody is going to miss.
Five questions that settle most cases
- Will anyone wear it in the next twelve months? If yes, keep it. Jewellery that gets worn is doing its job.
- Would anyone in the family want it? Ask them before you decide. It is an easy step to skip, and a hard one to undo.
- Is there a story attached that matters more than the metal? A story is not recoverable at any price.
- Does the cash have a defined purpose, or would it simply arrive? Money with a job does more than money that lands in a current account.
- How would you feel about this in a year? Not next week, when the decision still feels active. A year, when it is settled either way.
The cost of holding
You will read that keeping jewellery in a drawer means "losing money". We will not make that argument, because it is not true in any straightforward sense. Gold in a drawer costs nothing to hold, generates no fees and does not decay. What it does carry is risk: theft, loss, fire, and the slow one where nobody left alive knows what is in the box or what it is.
If you are keeping items, the sensible response is not to sell them but to record them. Photograph everything, note the hallmarks, and if the total is significant, check whether your home insurance covers it and whether individual pieces need to be scheduled. A written, itemised valuation is useful for exactly this and does not oblige you to sell anything, and how we value gold sets out what such a document contains.
The option that is easy to overlook: sell part of it
This is rarely all or nothing, and treating it as a single decision is what makes it feel difficult. Almost every jewellery box splits cleanly into two piles: things with a future as jewellery, and things without one. Broken chain, snapped clasps, bent rings, odd earrings, worn-through plate and unmarked oddments are in the second pile, and selling them costs you nothing you will notice.
Sell that pile. Keep the rest. Revisit in a year with a clearer head and a smaller box. Selling both piles together, in one go, at a difficult time, is the version that is hardest to undo.
When holding is clearly the right answer
Keep the items, at least for now, if probate has not been granted and the estate has not been distributed, because the decision is not yet yours to make. If a bereavement, separation or other upheaval is recent, because decisions made in the first few months are the hardest to judge. If the family has not been consulted. If the piece might be collectable and has not been looked at by a specialist. And if the only reason you are considering it is that a news headline mentioned a record gold price, because that is the market’s reason to sell, not yours.
When selling is clearly the right answer
Sell when the items will genuinely never be worn by anyone, when the cash meets a defined need, when broken pieces are beyond economical repair, when storing valuables at home is causing you worry, or when an estate needs liquidity and the beneficiaries have agreed. In those cases the decision is not really about gold at all, and waiting for a better price is just deferring something you have already decided.